Leif Svalgaard suggests solar cycle 24 could be similar to solar cycle 14, which had a long flat top, which is in line with Jan’s comment.
Underlying source: Leif Svalgaard – my notes added
So how did that affect the secular asset cycle back in the early 1900s? As you can see from my notation, the secular peak (which was in stocks) occurred on the nose of the official solar peak, which was near the front end of the flat top. So, if SIDC and NASA are correct in their predictions for a Feb/Mar 2013 official solar peak, then we might expect the secular peak (in commodities) to occur close to that, rather than towards the end of the flat top, if such a top extends out into 2014.