S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

Explosive Rally

It took me by surprise that the R2K moved cleanly back into the 2014 range and the SP500 back above its 200MA in yesterday’s powerful up day. However, I believe … Continue reading

October 22, 2014 · 138 Comments

The Week Ahead

Earnings season continues. So far from those who have reported, EPS growth in Q3 is 5%. I remind you that the projection for this quarter was 12% at the start … Continue reading

October 19, 2014 · 234 Comments

Comparing Stock Market Peaks

The most common idea I’m reading on Twitter currently is that the current stock market correction is an echo of July 2007, implying a rally back up to marginal new … Continue reading

October 17, 2014 · 201 Comments

Capitulation?

I’ll cut to the summary: there were some signs of capitulation yesterday, but that was not likely the bottom. I’ve kept all my short positions, here’s the analysis: Capitulation signs: … Continue reading

October 16, 2014 · 138 Comments

Tuesday Morning Update

No panic selling follow-through from Friday in the Asia and Europe sessions yesterday but weakness hit late in the US, producing the third consecutive >1% down day, taking the SP500 7% … Continue reading

October 14, 2014 · 222 Comments

Pre-Monday Update

Here’s a reminder of historical analogs (manias of similar valuations, leverage, bullishness extremes, etc), and their common topping pattern: Source: Financial-Spread-Betting Here is the Dax in 2014, with a similar … Continue reading

October 12, 2014 · 173 Comments

V-Correction Or Breakdown Part 2

Tuesday’s selling to a lower low delivered the missing positive RSI divergence on the SP500 and out of that we saw a strong rally on Wednesday. It was a necessary stick … Continue reading

October 9, 2014 · 262 Comments

The Only Chart That Matters

Ask 100 analysts and traders what that is, and chances are that not one of them will point to this: Yet I maintain that this is it. The last 5 solar cycles … Continue reading

October 7, 2014 · 274 Comments

V-Correction Or Breakdown?

The bounce yesterday in equities arrived at an appropriate point when stock indices are cross-referenced technically: channel support on the SP500 and key horizontal support on the Russell 2000: Plus rising support … Continue reading

October 3, 2014 · 253 Comments

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