Timing The Top In Equities
1. By the Bradley Siderograph that would be 22 June: Source: Amanita 2. By Eurodollar COT it would be now: Source: Nowandfutures 3. By the historic seasonality of geomagnetism it … Continue reading
What Really Moves The Markets
The evidence has led me to a ‘dumb’ model of the markets, whereby humans are more subjects and less intelligent creatures of free will. It’s up to you to decide … Continue reading
State Of The Markets
The latest picture for 4-way pro-risk: Source: Bloomberg If a trend change occurred in late April then commodities and Euro-USD have yet to meaningfully participate. Stocks and bond yields however, … Continue reading
USA Financial Markets Economic Correlations
Correlations between real stocks, real commodities, real house prices and treasury yields, together with inflation, interest rates, recessions, unemployment, demographics and sunspots. A more detailed, step by step study of … Continue reading
Brazilian Bovespa, Indian Sensex, Malaysian KLCI
Over the next 10 years there are certain countries (largely emerging markets) with demographic tailwinds which should enable strong equity bull markets (as per my conclusions here), whilst the majority … Continue reading
Sunspots, Equities, Treasuries, Commodities, Inflation, Money Velocity, Interest Rates And Demographics
Time to draw them all together and see the full correlations. This is US-based analysis due to data availability. The first chart (click to view larger) reveals historic spikes in … Continue reading
State Of The Markets
Here is the latest picture for pro-risk proxies. A new uptrend appears to have begun in late April, following an overall downtrend since the turn of February (equities traded overall … Continue reading
Demographics And The Next Secular Stocks Bull
Four demographic measures have been demonstrated to have a correlation with economic, stock market and real estate market performance: middle to young ratio (35-49 year olds versus 20-34 year olds), … Continue reading
More Demographics
The lunar positive period begins here for the next two weeks. Is there a buying opportunity in pro-risk? The geomagnetic trend is still up. Sentiment is at pessimistic levels in … Continue reading
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