With John Hampson

October 2000 vs. October 2014

By various indicators, equities in 2014 align well with the last solar maximum year of 2000. The topping process began in January. The solar maximum occurred in March with an … Continue reading

October 30, 2014 · 38 Comments

Explosive Rally Again

Another surprising day. Strong bullish action in US stock indices with leadership by cyclical sectors and small caps putting new highs within reach on most indices, and actually achieved by … Continue reading

October 29, 2014 · 89 Comments

Solar And Stocks Update

Sunspots and the smoothed solar maximum appear to have peaked around March 2014. Margin debt, Russell 2000, social media and various breadth measures look to have peaked around then, in … Continue reading

October 28, 2014 · 128 Comments

New Moon Reversal?

A bullish day but with a weak close and weak after-hours produced a candle with a tail to the upside that could spell a reversal, with new moons often¬†marking tops. … Continue reading

October 24, 2014 · 201 Comments

Explosive Rally

It took me by surprise that the R2K moved cleanly back into the 2014 range and the SP500 back above its 200MA in yesterday’s powerful up day. However, I believe … Continue reading

October 22, 2014 · 250 Comments

The Week Ahead

Earnings season continues. So far from those who have reported, EPS growth in Q3 is 5%. I remind you that the projection for this quarter was 12% at the start … Continue reading

October 19, 2014 · 234 Comments

Comparing Stock Market Peaks

The most common idea I’m reading on Twitter currently is that the current stock market correction is an echo of July 2007, implying a rally back up to marginal new … Continue reading

October 17, 2014 · 201 Comments


I’ll cut to the summary: there were some signs of capitulation yesterday, but that was not likely the bottom. I’ve kept all my short positions, here’s the analysis: Capitulation signs: … Continue reading

October 16, 2014 · 139 Comments

Tuesday Morning Update

No panic selling follow-through from Friday in the Asia and Europe sessions yesterday but weakness¬†hit late in the US, producing the third consecutive >1% down day, taking the SP500 7% … Continue reading

October 14, 2014 · 222 Comments

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