Short Term Models
Market returns are higher into and around new moons, and lower into and around full moons. Lunar phase timings are known in advance. Market returns are higher in periods of negligible geomagnetism and lower on and after days of high geomagnetism. Geomagnetism can be forecast up to 3 weeks in advance (with limited accuracy). Stock market seasonality corresponds to historic geomagnetism seasonality.
Combining lunar phase oscillation with historic geomagnetism seasonality generates a model for the year. Combining lunar phase oscillation with cumulative trend geomagnetism generates a model with a 3 week tail into the future.
Seasonal Model for 2013
SP500 Stock Index
R/J CRB Commodities Index
Dax Stock Index
Singapore Straits Times Stock Index
Brazil Bovespa Stock Index
India Sensex Stock Index
Malaysian KLCI Stock Index
FWIW: Jeffrey Owen Katz and Donna L. McCormick developed profitable Trading Systems based on Sunspot numbers:
http://www.docin.com/p-5213931.html
http://wenku.baidu.com/view/6930221214791711cc791723.html (p. 198 ff.)
These links are in Chinese.
Is there an English version?
Jeet
John,
Please update these charts if needed. As you have extended the Solar cycle by 6 months as per the inputs from NASA.
I will update all models on Tuesday as usual. Just the Peak v Peak page requires an amendment.
While i originally commented I clicked the -Notify me when new
comments are added- checkbox now each time a comment is added I’ve 4 e-mails with exactly the same comment. Perhaps there is certainly any means you are able to detract me from that service? Thanks!
Hi Lamont, I believe you should have a subscription option at the bottom of the emails that you get, allowing you to opt out of that or change your settings – ?
Hi John, I enjoy your site and analysis very much. Is there a reason why the “Seasonal Model for 2013″ is not updated? Thanks again for the great work.
Hi Israel, the seasonal model doesn’t change throughout the year, whereas the cumulative trend models do – so I tried to simplify the page by showing the one seasonal model and then the indices versus the cumulative trend.
Oh, OK. It looked like you started to plot the S&P500 on it too, and I wondered why you stopped. Maybe that would be misleading without the cumulative trend adjustment?
Hi John, Thank you for your updates. How can one obtain the % changes as indicated in the above models. Or will you consider to plot the high and low price levels for each month? Regards
It’s a sentiment guide, so I’d be wary of quoting price levels. But I can probably add something to them to improve them – leave it with me.