With John Hampson

V-Correction Or Breakdown?

The bounce yesterday in equities arrived at an appropriate point when stock indices are cross-referenced technically: channel support on the SP500 and key horizontal support on the Russell 2000: Plus rising support … Continue reading

October 3, 2014 · 253 Comments

Last Quarter Of 2014

September finished as a down month for all US stock indices, which means the peak in margin debt should remain as February. Cross-referencing: SOCL, RUT and Nasdaq breadth peaks are still signalling a … Continue reading

October 1, 2014 · 218 Comments

Population, GDP, Debt, War And Solar Variation

On a longer term view, these all fit together, and understanding their relationships can help us predict what’s coming. The grand solar minima correlate with clusters of war: War clusters / cycles … Continue reading

September 29, 2014 · 216 Comments

Increasing Deterioration

A rally in equities yesterday on increasing under-the-hood deterioration. 1. SP500 breadth measures not confirming: Source: Stockcharts 2. Dow negative divergences persist: 3. Nasdaq breadth divergences continue to worsen: 4. … Continue reading

September 25, 2014 · 242 Comments

Topping Timeline And Targets

I played the long side of the stock market from 2009 to 2013, which longer term readers can vouch for. I reiterate that in case there is any doubt amongst … Continue reading

September 23, 2014 · 204 Comments

Stock Market Vs. Equinox

Tuesday 23rd September is the Fall/Autumn equinox. Equinoxes occur twice a year, the other being around 20th March. The last 4 major tops and bottoms in the SP500 all fell … Continue reading

September 19, 2014 · 268 Comments

US Demographic Peak Of 2000

The US enjoyed united demographic uptrends from 1980 to 2000 and since then united downtrends. Here are a collection of charts that show the powerful reality of this influence. 1. … Continue reading

September 18, 2014 · 86 Comments

Problems in China

1. China tipped over the demographic cliff circa 2007-2010. Here are middle to young, middle to old, net investors and dependency ratio (inverted) measures: 2. China’s stock market enjoyed a parabolic … Continue reading

September 16, 2014 · 166 Comments

Gold Update

Gold behaves as the anti-demographic. This chart shows US demographics versus p/e ratio (equivalent to inflation-adjusted stocks) and gold price on a long term view. P/es or real stocks trend … Continue reading

September 12, 2014 · 186 Comments

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