With John Hampson

Cyclical / Secular

The short term first. The Dow Jones World stock index looks like this: Source: Stockcharts The current high is someway beneath the July/Sept highs and the lower high lower low trend … Continue reading

November 12, 2014 · 271 Comments

Cross Asset Position

No reversal yesterday in equities but I maintain it has to be close at hand. The Nasdaq added another day to its small sideways range. RSI divergence argues the next move … Continue reading

November 11, 2014 · 113 Comments

In Perspective

1. The start of January brought the shift to defensives, measured here in 4 ways: stocks to bonds ratio, cyclical to defensive sector ratio, small caps to all caps ratio and high … Continue reading

November 9, 2014 · 101 Comments

Charts Update

The exhaustion gap (from Friday) is still in play, and I’m now looking for a gap down day. The current Nasdaq is shown below followed by a typical exhaustion gap pattern: … Continue reading

November 6, 2014 · 276 Comments

Game Over Start Of July

Many charts and indicators say equities finally topped out at the start of July. 1. European stock indices peaked out at that time and have since made a lower high and lower low. … Continue reading

November 4, 2014 · 146 Comments


October ended with new marginal highs on the SP500, Dow and Nasdaq. The bottom line is: my analysis doesn’t change. Here’s why. There are too many stock market topping indicators … Continue reading

November 2, 2014 · 161 Comments

October 2000 vs. October 2014

By various indicators, equities in 2014 align well with the last solar maximum year of 2000. The topping process began in January. The solar maximum occurred in March with an … Continue reading

October 30, 2014 · 436 Comments

Explosive Rally Again

Another surprising day. Strong bullish action in US stock indices with leadership by cyclical sectors and small caps putting new highs within reach on most indices, and actually achieved by … Continue reading

October 29, 2014 · 89 Comments

Solar And Stocks Update

Sunspots and the smoothed solar maximum appear to have peaked around March 2014. Margin debt, Russell 2000, social media and various breadth measures look to have peaked around then, in … Continue reading

October 28, 2014 · 128 Comments

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