With John Hampson

Fire Is Lit

The fire is lit and should burn through pretty quickly, because if I am correct about this being the second chance peak (see HERE) then the mirrors from history reveal the … Continue reading

August 1, 2014 · 33 Comments

QE is mantra rather than driver

This is widely presented as the only chart that matters: Or like this: Namely, that QE has been the driver of the stocks bull market and its corrections, and the Fed … Continue reading

July 31, 2014 · 33 Comments

The Macro Picture

An important week this week: more big earnings, first Q2 GDP release, FOMC and the last week of July. Stock price increases the last 2 years have been 80% multiple … Continue reading

July 29, 2014 · 67 Comments

Last Gasps

New moon this coming weekend and the seasonal geomagnetic model peak. SP500 is still in a topping range since July 3, with RSI and Vix divergences. Source: Stockcharts Skew continues … Continue reading

July 23, 2014 · 144 Comments

Second Chance Peak

Friday was a bullish fightback, but I still think the roll over is in gradual progress here. Here’s why I think the markets are at the second chance peak, rather than earlier … Continue reading

July 19, 2014 · 72 Comments


US equities unresolved still at the time of writing, but unlikely for long. US small caps and European stock indices made a definitive trend change around the start of July, making … Continue reading

July 17, 2014 · 56 Comments

Charts For A US Stock Market Peak Here And Now

1. Put-call extremes plus negative divergence as per previous peaks: Source: Rory Handyside 2. Skew extremes and clustering greater than 2011 peak: Source: James Goode 3. Implied correlation volatility reflects … Continue reading

July 7, 2014 · 121 Comments

Burned By The Sun

The evidence for a speculation peak delivered at the solar maximum is better than I could have hoped, yet I’m on the wrong side of it and feeling the pain. … Continue reading

July 4, 2014 · 69 Comments

Three Peaks

By the end of 2013 we saw various divergences emerge that warned of a potential trend change ahead, and still do: The first major peak point occurred at the turn of the year, … Continue reading

July 1, 2014 · 97 Comments

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