With John Hampson

High Stakes

Still the bulls have the ball, and still we can’t say for sure whether we are in a bear or a bull market. Bullish percent, volatility and breadth still make … Continue reading

October 23, 2015 · 319 Comments

The Big Picture

Financial markets are the function of swells and shrinkages in buyers and leverage, brought about principally by demographics and sunspot cycles, additionally with the latter influencing the former. The big … Continue reading

September 5, 2015 · 320 Comments

A Dumb Mechanism

Evidence reveals the financial markets to be ‘dumb’. Long term trends are dictated by demographics (swelling numbers of buyers or sellers) and solar cycles (influencing speculation levels amongst participants). Markets top … Continue reading

August 15, 2015 · 110 Comments

Top Signals And Bottom Signals

The Dow and SP500 are combined flat for the year and the 7 month price range has resulted in bollinger bands that are the closest in 20 years. Behind the scenes … Continue reading

August 6, 2015 · 372 Comments

Comparison to 1929

Hat tips to Mark, John Li and Chien Jen. So what’s similar to 1929? A stock market mania to extreme valuations. Source: D Short A similar low intensity solar cycle. … Continue reading

June 17, 2015 · 55 Comments

Is This ‘It’?

Why might it be? The triple confluence peak of peak speculation: the new moon closest to the seasonal geomagnetic peak closest to the smoothed solar maximum: 27th June 2014. Many … Continue reading

June 16, 2015 · 34 Comments

Global Economy

The world economy is currently in trouble, showing both recessionary and deflationary coincident data: Source: Ned DavisSource: GaveKal Given these, the resilience of equity markets has been pretty amazing, even more so as … Continue reading

June 10, 2015 · 58 Comments

More Indicator Updates

1. Topping thrusts compared: Source: Stockcharts That 4th chart now stands at 52 days and 15%, so ripe for conclusion. 2. Skew: Source: Dana Lyons Skew is still in the … Continue reading

January 2, 2015 · 131 Comments


October ended with new marginal highs on the SP500, Dow and Nasdaq. The bottom line is: my analysis doesn’t change. Here’s why. There are too many stock market topping indicators … Continue reading

November 2, 2014 · 161 Comments

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