S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

November

October ended with new marginal highs on the SP500, Dow and Nasdaq. The bottom line is: my analysis doesn’t change. Here’s why. There are too many stock market topping indicators … Continue reading

November 2, 2014 · 161 Comments

Solar And Stocks Update

Sunspots and the smoothed solar maximum appear to have peaked around March 2014. Margin debt, Russell 2000, social media and various breadth measures look to have peaked around then, in … Continue reading

October 28, 2014 · 128 Comments

New Moon Reversal?

A bullish day but with a weak close and weak after-hours produced a candle with a tail to the upside that could spell a reversal, with new moons often marking tops. … Continue reading

October 24, 2014 · 201 Comments

Last 18 Months

Over the last 18 months, US equities rose on 80% multiple expansion and just 20% earnings, and they diverged from economic fundamentals. Source: Yardeni Institutions were net sellers in this … Continue reading

August 28, 2014 · 75 Comments

The Alternatives

Alternative 1: The Bull Is Safe Stocks are in a new secular bull market. This cyclical bull began from the low in 2011. The economy is recovering and we need a … Continue reading

August 25, 2014 · 201 Comments

Short Term Update

With Monday being August’s new moon, we arrive at the last higher-probability topping point mid-year 2014 for those indices which have not yet topped out: With SP500 and Nasdaq overbought … Continue reading

August 22, 2014 · 88 Comments

Double Top Or Breakout

A double top here on the SP500 or another breakout to new highs? Below shows Aug 8th was another channel hold, so is it bull-business as usual or has something changed? … Continue reading

August 21, 2014 · 68 Comments

Failure High

The potential post-second-chance positioning was negated as the rally since the 8th August gained momentum, albeit out of hours momentum. So the question is whether this rally now produces the failure high … Continue reading

August 19, 2014 · 107 Comments

New Secular Stocks Bull

Is not underway: Does not begin at these valuations: And can not occur under these demographic trends: Rather, those charts collectively present the real story. This is a cyclical bull … Continue reading

August 15, 2014 · 167 Comments

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