S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

Comparison to 1929

Hat tips to Mark, John Li and Chien Jen. So what’s similar to 1929? A stock market mania to extreme valuations. Source: D Short A similar low intensity solar cycle. … Continue reading

June 17, 2015 · 55 Comments

Is This ‘It’?

Why might it be? The triple confluence peak of peak speculation: the new moon closest to the seasonal geomagnetic peak closest to the smoothed solar maximum: 27th June 2014. Many … Continue reading

June 16, 2015 · 34 Comments

Global Economy

The world economy is currently in trouble, showing both recessionary and deflationary coincident data: Source: Ned DavisSource: GaveKal Given these, the resilience of equity markets has been pretty amazing, even more so as … Continue reading

June 10, 2015 · 58 Comments

More Indicator Updates

1. Topping thrusts compared: Source: Stockcharts That 4th chart now stands at 52 days and 15%, so ripe for conclusion. 2. Skew: Source: Dana Lyons Skew is still in the … Continue reading

January 2, 2015 · 131 Comments

November

October ended with new marginal highs on the SP500, Dow and Nasdaq. The bottom line is: my analysis doesn’t change. Here’s why. There are too many stock market topping indicators … Continue reading

November 2, 2014 · 161 Comments

Solar And Stocks Update

Sunspots and the smoothed solar maximum appear to have peaked around March 2014. Margin debt, Russell 2000, social media and various breadth measures look to have peaked around then, in … Continue reading

October 28, 2014 · 128 Comments

New Moon Reversal?

A bullish day but with a weak close and weak after-hours produced a candle with a tail to the upside that could spell a reversal, with new moons often marking tops. … Continue reading

October 24, 2014 · 201 Comments

Last 18 Months

Over the last 18 months, US equities rose on 80% multiple expansion and just 20% earnings, and they diverged from economic fundamentals. Source: Yardeni Institutions were net sellers in this … Continue reading

August 28, 2014 · 75 Comments

The Alternatives

Alternative 1: The Bull Is Safe Stocks are in a new secular bull market. This cyclical bull began from the low in 2011. The economy is recovering and we need a … Continue reading

August 25, 2014 · 201 Comments

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