With John Hampson

Double Top Or Breakout

A double top here on the SP500 or another breakout to new highs? Below shows Aug 8th was another channel hold, so is it bull-business as usual or has something changed? … Continue reading

August 21, 2014 · 68 Comments

Failure High

The potential post-second-chance positioning was negated as the rally since the 8th August gained momentum, albeit out of hours momentum. So the question is whether this rally now produces the failure high … Continue reading

August 19, 2014 · 106 Comments

New Secular Stocks Bull

Is not underway: Does not begin at these valuations: And can not occur under these demographic trends: Rather, those charts collectively present the real story. This is a cyclical bull … Continue reading

August 15, 2014 · 167 Comments

Timing Major Market Peaks: Revisited

In the original post (HERE) I showed that major market peaks typically occur: 1. Within the month – at new moons (optimism peaks) 2. Within the year – at inverted … Continue reading

August 11, 2014 · 37 Comments

Market Crashes

Here are some of the all-time records delivered in 2014: 1. Highest ever Wilshire 5000 market cap to GDP valuation for equities 2. Highest ever margin debt to GDP ratio … Continue reading

August 5, 2014 · 61 Comments

QE is mantra rather than driver

This is widely presented as the only chart that matters: Or like this: Namely, that QE has been the driver of the stocks bull market and its corrections, and the Fed … Continue reading

July 31, 2014 · 33 Comments

Last Gasps

New moon this coming weekend and the seasonal geomagnetic model peak. SP500 is still in a topping range since July 3, with RSI and Vix divergences. Source: Stockcharts Skew continues … Continue reading

July 23, 2014 · 144 Comments

Second Chance Peak

Friday was a bullish fightback, but I still think the roll over is in gradual progress here. Here’s why I think the markets are at the second chance peak, rather than earlier … Continue reading

July 19, 2014 · 72 Comments


US equities unresolved still at the time of writing, but unlikely for long. US small caps and European stock indices made a definitive trend change around the start of July, making … Continue reading

July 17, 2014 · 56 Comments

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