S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

10 Indicators Cross-Referenced

1. Investors Intelligence II Bears (advisor sentiment) is sub 15 again this week, previous clusters shown:  Source: Stockcharts Here are those sub 15 readings on the 80s Dow:  Source: Stockcharts The … Continue reading

September 11, 2014 · 78 Comments

Characteristics Of A Stock Market Peak

Focussing on the US stock market, I’ll divide this into two: what’s currently flagging a peak, and what’s – arguably – missing. First, the different angles and disciplines that are signalling … Continue reading

September 8, 2014 · 60 Comments

As Things Stand

The stock market topping process began at the turn of the year: Speculation peaked in Feb/Mar along with the likely smoothed solar maximum: So, topping process phase 1: turn of the year risk … Continue reading

September 4, 2014 · 148 Comments

Last 30 Years

MSCI world equity index valuation chart for the last 30 years: Source: Investec The overall dotted line trend matches the black global demographics composite in the next two charts: Conventional … Continue reading

September 3, 2014 · 59 Comments

Double Top Or Breakout

A double top here on the SP500 or another breakout to new highs? Below shows Aug 8th was another channel hold, so is it bull-business as usual or has something changed? … Continue reading

August 21, 2014 · 68 Comments

Failure High

The potential post-second-chance positioning was negated as the rally since the 8th August gained momentum, albeit out of hours momentum. So the question is whether this rally now produces the failure high … Continue reading

August 19, 2014 · 107 Comments

New Secular Stocks Bull

Is not underway: Does not begin at these valuations: And can not occur under these demographic trends: Rather, those charts collectively present the real story. This is a cyclical bull … Continue reading

August 15, 2014 · 167 Comments

Timing Major Market Peaks: Revisited

In the original post (HERE) I showed that major market peaks typically occur: 1. Within the month – at new moons (optimism peaks) 2. Within the year – at inverted … Continue reading

August 11, 2014 · 38 Comments

Market Crashes

Here are some of the all-time records delivered in 2014: 1. Highest ever Wilshire 5000 market cap to GDP valuation for equities 2. Highest ever margin debt to GDP ratio … Continue reading

August 5, 2014 · 61 Comments

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