S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

Weekend Updates

1. US stocks to bonds and to dollar ratios continue to show a clear top mid-2014: Source: Stockcharts 2. Dow Jones World stock index shows a peak the same as … Continue reading

February 22, 2015 · 260 Comments

Charts Updates

The big picture looks like this: Source: Stockcharts Global stocks, commodities and the world’s reserve currency turning in unison at the end of June 2014. Extreme lop-sided positioning in the … Continue reading

January 28, 2015 · 245 Comments

Macro Updates

1. Non-Farm Payrolls out on Friday, a big number forecast. Note the two biggest prints of the last 20 years were March 2000 and May 2010, both market peaks. This … Continue reading

January 8, 2015 · 103 Comments

Equities Bear Began July 2014

It’s becoming clearer with hindsight and this is what I see. 1. The bull market topping process in equities kicked off January 2014: Source: Stockcharts 2. Speculation peaks with the … Continue reading

January 6, 2015 · 128 Comments

More Indicator Updates

1. Topping thrusts compared: Source: Stockcharts That 4th chart now stands at 52 days and 15%, so ripe for conclusion. 2. Skew: Source: Dana Lyons Skew is still in the … Continue reading

January 2, 2015 · 131 Comments

End Of 2014

I’m back and refreshed. Thanks for all the messages, and for all the comments in my absence. Here is the big picture. 1. Primary shift to defensives and away from risk occurred as of January … Continue reading

December 30, 2014 · 109 Comments

State Of The Markets

It’s been a while, so here’s how things now stand. 1. The topping process kicked off at the turn of the year with a gradual shift to defensives, as represented here … Continue reading

December 13, 2014 · 377 Comments

Weekend Update

A doji on the SP500 on Friday, making for a week of sideways range. But there is one index still not slowing down, the Nasdaq 100. Apple and Microsoft are … Continue reading

November 15, 2014 · 370 Comments

Last Quarter Of 2014

September finished as a down month for all US stock indices, which means the peak in margin debt should remain as February. Cross-referencing: SOCL, RUT and Nasdaq breadth peaks are still signalling a … Continue reading

October 1, 2014 · 218 Comments

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