S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

Cross Asset Position

No reversal yesterday in equities but I maintain it has to be close at hand. The Nasdaq added another day to its small sideways range. RSI divergence argues the next move … Continue reading

November 11, 2014 · 113 Comments

In Perspective

1. The start of January brought the shift to defensives, measured here in 4 ways: stocks to bonds ratio, cyclical to defensive sector ratio, small caps to all caps ratio and high … Continue reading

November 9, 2014 · 101 Comments

V-Correction Or Breakdown Part 2

Tuesday’s selling to a lower low delivered the missing positive RSI divergence on the SP500 and out of that we saw a strong rally on Wednesday. It was a necessary stick … Continue reading

October 9, 2014 · 262 Comments

V-Correction Or Breakdown?

The bounce yesterday in equities arrived at an appropriate point when stock indices are cross-referenced technically: channel support on the SP500 and key horizontal support on the Russell 2000: Plus rising support … Continue reading

October 3, 2014 · 253 Comments

Last Quarter Of 2014

September finished as a down month for all US stock indices, which means the peak in margin debt should remain as February. Cross-referencing: SOCL, RUT and Nasdaq breadth peaks are still signalling a … Continue reading

October 1, 2014 · 218 Comments

Gold Update

Gold behaves as the anti-demographic. This chart shows US demographics versus p/e ratio (equivalent to inflation-adjusted stocks) and gold price on a long term view. P/es or real stocks trend … Continue reading

September 12, 2014 · 186 Comments

Three Peaks

By the end of 2013 we saw various divergences emerge that warned of a potential trend change ahead, and still do: The first major peak point occurred at the turn of the year, … Continue reading

July 1, 2014 · 97 Comments

Key Time

Break out in stocks or new moon reversal back into the range? The Nasdaq 100 has climbed back up towards its previous high, and so is adding to the moment … Continue reading

May 28, 2014 · 34 Comments

Markets Update

The selling in equities into Tuesday did not wash out indicators, suggesting a lower low should be ahead. Yesterday’s bounce produced a very low put/call reading signalling high complacency.  Source: … Continue reading

April 10, 2014 · 51 Comments

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