Category Archives: Commodities
Japan Financial Markets Economic Correlations
I wanted to test the correlations and interrelations on Japan. As it went through a different experience to the USA over the last half a century, did the same correlations … Continue reading
What Really Moves The Markets
The evidence has led me to a ‘dumb’ model of the markets, whereby humans are more subjects and less intelligent creatures of free will. It’s up to you to decide … Continue reading
State Of The Markets
The latest picture for 4-way pro-risk: Source: Bloomberg If a trend change occurred in late April then commodities and Euro-USD have yet to meaningfully participate. Stocks and bond yields however, … Continue reading
USA Financial Markets Economic Correlations
Correlations between real stocks, real commodities, real house prices and treasury yields, together with inflation, interest rates, recessions, unemployment, demographics and sunspots. A more detailed, step by step study of … Continue reading
Sunspots, Equities, Treasuries, Commodities, Inflation, Money Velocity, Interest Rates And Demographics
Time to draw them all together and see the full correlations. This is US-based analysis due to data availability. The first chart (click to view larger) reveals historic spikes in … Continue reading
State Of The Markets
Here is the latest picture for pro-risk proxies. A new uptrend appears to have begun in late April, following an overall downtrend since the turn of February (equities traded overall … Continue reading
Solar Cycles, Demographics and Equities
A long post coming up, but I found this to be outlook-changing research. Firstly, the Japanese stock index long term chart, with solar cycle maximums marked as black lines (C … Continue reading
Gold vs. Nasdaq
If this is a sharp correction before a secular finale for gold, then there is a potential mirror from history in the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq made a long secular bull … Continue reading
Velocity, Yields, Inflation, Growth And Commodities
I maintain the late 1940s is our closest historical mirror, as per this chart: Then, as now, they had a problem with money velocity. But it reversed course and took … Continue reading
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