With John Hampson

New Secular Stocks Bull

Is not underway: Does not begin at these valuations: And can not occur under these demographic trends: Rather, those charts collectively present the real story. This is a cyclical bull … Continue reading

August 15, 2014 · 167 Comments


Yesterday’s action produced a doji in US large caps, or indecision, so we roll over to today. This is how the Dow and R2K look: Source: Stockcharts The Dow has … Continue reading

August 13, 2014 · 68 Comments

Timing Major Market Peaks: Revisited

In the original post (HERE) I showed that major market peaks typically occur: 1. Within the month – at new moons (optimism peaks) 2. Within the year – at inverted … Continue reading

August 11, 2014 · 37 Comments


In the last decade, demographic trends in the Eurozone turned from growth-positive and inflationary to recessionary and deflationary. Cross-validating this, we see a trend of disinflation since the peak that … Continue reading

August 7, 2014 · 51 Comments

Market Crashes

Here are some of the all-time records delivered in 2014: 1. Highest ever Wilshire 5000 market cap to GDP valuation for equities 2. Highest ever margin debt to GDP ratio … Continue reading

August 5, 2014 · 61 Comments

Weekend Update

1. Dow within reach of 200MA: Source: Stockcharts 2. Nymo and Vix:Vxv both still calling for a bounce: Source: StockchartsSource: CobrasMarketView 3. Put call ratios leapt up on Friday, also … Continue reading

August 2, 2014 · 74 Comments

Fire Is Lit

The fire is lit and should burn through pretty quickly, because if I am correct about this being the second chance peak (see HERE) then the mirrors from history reveal the … Continue reading

August 1, 2014 · 33 Comments

QE is mantra rather than driver

This is widely presented as the only chart that matters: Or like this: Namely, that QE has been the driver of the stocks bull market and its corrections, and the Fed … Continue reading

July 31, 2014 · 33 Comments

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