S O L A R C Y C L E S

With John Hampson

Charts Update

It’s a picture of a major market top. The ‘real’ peak was mid-2014 at the solar max, as it was at the last solar max of Spring 2000. The supports … Continue reading

July 1, 2015 · 83 Comments

Selling Exhaustion Signs

The first day of decent selling…. but exhaustion signals appear. Yesterday was the highest downside volume day since March 2012. It ended the longest streak of no >2% up or … Continue reading

June 30, 2015 · 58 Comments

The Bubble Within The Bubble

Namely, the Biotech sector within the wider stock market. Is the wider stock market in a bubble? Valuations in the 97th percentile, record extreme leverage, allocations second only to the dot.com bubble, … Continue reading

June 26, 2015 · 128 Comments

Comparison to 2000

The biggest stock market mania of all time peaked out in March 2000, which was the exact month the smoothed solar max of SC23 peaked. Solar cycle 24 appears to … Continue reading

June 19, 2015 · 224 Comments

Comparison to 1929

Hat tips to Mark, John Li and Chien Jen. So what’s similar to 1929? A stock market mania to extreme valuations. Source: D Short A similar low intensity solar cycle. … Continue reading

June 17, 2015 · 55 Comments

Is This ‘It’?

Why might it be? The triple confluence peak of peak speculation: the new moon closest to the seasonal geomagnetic peak closest to the smoothed solar maximum: 27th June 2014. Many … Continue reading

June 16, 2015 · 34 Comments

The Conundrum Of Our Times Part 2

Let’s now draw in the solar cycle. Here are US equity valuations by Q ratio versus solar maxima over the last century. A relation becomes apparent with secular lows and … Continue reading

June 15, 2015 · 56 Comments

The Conundrum Of Our Times Part 1

This is a complex time to trade the financial markets. We are trying to forecast against a backdrop of prolonged ultra low rates, collective quantitative easing programmes, united demographic downtrends and extreme debt levels … Continue reading

June 12, 2015 · 117 Comments

Global Economy

The world economy is currently in trouble, showing both recessionary and deflationary coincident data: Source: Ned DavisSource: GaveKal Given these, the resilience of equity markets has been pretty amazing, even more so as … Continue reading

June 10, 2015 · 58 Comments

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