With John Hampson

Friday Roundup

1. Chinese stocks are making another attempt at bottoming, and this one has promise. A falling wedge, positive RSI divergence and a potential fakeout beneath support as stocks rallied strongly … Continue reading

September 28, 2012 · 7 Comments

Back To The Near Term

This week has been on average the most bearish of the year historically. We also have downward pressure into this coming weekend’s full moon. To add to that we had … Continue reading

September 26, 2012 · 23 Comments

Addendum to Forecast 2013 series

Two great charts from readers, worthy of a few more comments. Firstly, from Robert Bowden, a long term chart of the Dow and the lunisolar 33-year cycle. Great work from … Continue reading

September 25, 2012 · 26 Comments

Forecast 2013 Part 4: New Secular Bonds Bear Market

US treasuries have been in a 30 year bull market and have reached all time highs in 2012, with yields at all-time lows. Other major nation government bonds have hit … Continue reading

September 24, 2012 · 7 Comments

Forecast 2013 Part 3: Equities Wind Out Of Secular Bear

Secular stocks bear markets track overall sideways in nominal terms due to inflation, whilst price/earnings valuations gradually fall from expensive to cheap. The shape and development of the current secular … Continue reading

September 21, 2012 · 26 Comments

Forecast 2013 Part 2: Secular Commodities Peak

Forecasting a secular commodities bull market peak is two-part: why commodities should make a blow-off price acceleration and why commodities should then fall out of favour in an enduring way. … Continue reading

September 20, 2012 · 13 Comments

Forecast 2013 Part 1: Inflationary Peak

Agricultural commodities prices resumed upward trends in June 2012, largely due to drought conditions in key global farming areas on top of existing low inventories. Extreme global conditions continue, with … Continue reading

September 19, 2012 · 14 Comments

Coming Up

From the end of October 2012 to the end of March 2013 I am taking a world trip with my wife and 2 kids. Trading will continue, as will solarcycles.net, … Continue reading

September 18, 2012 · 16 Comments

Saturday Update

1. 10 year treasury yields continue to make an inverse head and shoulders pattern targetting yields of 2.2: Source: Stockcharts 2. Both the Euro and the Dollar are at S/R … Continue reading

September 15, 2012 · 14 Comments

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